Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035
2025-01-19 0.000014 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000047
2025-01-26 0.000012 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000060
2025-02-02 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000076
2025-02-09 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000035 0.000054 0.000093
2025-02-16 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000061 0.000115
2025-02-23 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000039 0.000069 0.000145
2025-03-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000042 0.000079 0.000182
2025-03-09 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000043 0.000086 0.000220
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000093 0.000263
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000024 0.000046 0.000102 0.000324
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000048 0.000112 0.000402
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000049 0.000120 0.000481
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000050 0.000129 0.000590
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000141 0.000746
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000054 0.000158 0.001008
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000055 0.000172 0.001301
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000057 0.000192 0.001827
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000061 0.000222 0.002857
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000065 0.000254 0.004569
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000066 0.000277 0.006772
2025-06-08 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000067 0.000300 0.010264
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000070 0.000335 0.018690